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Yesterday we had 1369 cases reported from dormitories
To put things in perspective, before the Circuit Breaker started, we had confirmed 1375 cases over the past 3 months. To say the number of confirmed cases is a lot is an understatement.
The situation at the dormitories had been a worrisome trend. Base on the latest released figures, 6075 Work Permit Holders residing in dormitories have caught the virus and another 339 of Work Permit Holders cases detected residing outside the dormitories.
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Source: MOH |
Implication
More Dormitories to isolate?
Currently, 18 dormitories our of 43 dormitories are gazetted as isolation areas. There is a chance that there will be more as aggressive testing may uncovered clusters in other Dormitories.
The full list of Dormitories as follows. The ones in yellow are designated as Isolation areas.
Name
of dormitory
|
Name of operator
|
Address
|
Keppel
Housing Pte Ltd
|
540
Bukit Batok Street 23, Singapore 659553
|
|
Sembcorp Marine Integrated Yard
Pte Ltd
|
Admiralty Road West, Singapore
759956
|
|
Averic
Pte Ltd
|
2D
Jalan Papan, Singapore 619415
|
|
Labourtel Management Corporation
Pte Ltd
|
3 Kian Teck Lane, Singapore 627844
|
|
PSA Tanjong Pagar Complex Pte Ltd
|
81 Brani Terminal Avenue,
Singapore 098323
|
|
Capital Development (Tuas) Pte Ltd
|
6 Tuas South Street 15, Singapore
636906
|
|
Keppel
Housing Pte Ltd
|
11
Penjuru Walk, Singapore 608541
|
|
Maxi Consultancy Pte Ltd
|
60 Boundary Close, Singapore
567730
|
|
Centurion / Lian Beng (Papan) Pte
Ltd
|
5C Jalan Papan, Singapore 619420
|
|
S11 Capital Investments Pte Ltd
|
80 Tanah Merah Coast Road,
Singapore 498736
|
|
Vobis
Enterprise Pte Ltd
|
51
Admiralty Road West, Singapore 757443
|
|
Vobis
Enterprise Pte Ltd
|
49
Admiralty Road West, Singapore 757444
|
|
Homestay Management Pte Ltd
|
39 Kaki Bukit Avenue 3, Singapore
415920
|
|
Hulett Construction (S) Pte Ltd
|
20 Senoko Drive, Singapore 758207
|
|
Cushman & Wakefield Facilities
& Engineering (S) Limited
|
529 Upper Jurong Road, Singapore
638355
|
|
Labourtel
Management Corporation Pte Ltd
|
58
Penjuru Place, Singapore 608562
|
|
Labourtel Management Corporation
Pte Ltd
|
36 Penjuru Place, Singapore 608560
|
|
Averic Capital Management Pte Ltd
|
26 Kian Teck Avenue, Singapore
628920
|
|
Joint Shipyard Management Services
Pte Ltd
|
30 Kian Teck Avenue, Singapore
628921
|
|
Vobis
Enterprise Pte Ltd
|
12
Kranji Road, Singapore 739522
|
|
Cushman
& Wakefield Facilities & Engineering (S) Limited
|
460
Mandai Road, Singapore 729760
|
|
Draco
Venture Pte Ltd
|
51
North Coast Avenue, Singapore 756992
|
|
Tee
Up Dormitory Pte Ltd
|
8
Seletar North Link, Singapore 797455
|
|
S11
Granuity Management Pte Ltd
|
2
Seletar North Link, Singapore 797601
|
|
PSA Tanjong Pagar Complex Pte Ltd
|
33 Harbour Drive, Singapore 117606
|
|
Jurong Shipyard Pte Ltd
|
80 Tuas South Boulevard, Singapore
637051
|
|
D Wall Pte Ltd
|
MK31 on Lot 04962N at Changi Coast
Road
|
|
TT Trading Resource Pte Ltd
|
69H Tuas South Avenue 1 Singapore
637509
|
|
Hallton
Investment Pte Ltd
|
12
Shaw Road, Singapore 367951
|
|
C&W Services (S) Pte Ltd
|
16 Tuas Avenue 1 #07-201 Singapore
639529
|
|
TG25
Pte Ltd
|
500
Old Choa Chu Kang Road, Singapore 698924
|
|
TPD
Facilities Management Pte Ltd
|
2
Tampines Place, Singapore 528821
|
|
Labourtel Management Corporation
Pte Ltd
|
25 Kaki Bukit Road 3, Singapore
415815
|
|
Capital
Development Pte Ltd
|
19A
Toh Guan Road East, Singapore 608567
|
|
Nexus Point Investments Pte Ltd
|
1 Tuas South Street 12, Singapore
636946
|
|
TS
Management Services Pte Ltd
|
70
Tuas South Avenue 1, Singapore 637285
|
|
Westlite
Dormitory Toh Guan Pte Ltd
|
18
Toh Guan Road East, Singapore 608591
|
|
Westlite Juniper (Mandai) Pte Ltd
|
23 Mandai Estate, Singapore 729937
|
|
Lian
Beng / Centurion (Dormitory) Pte Ltd
|
34
Mandai Estate, Singapore 729940
|
|
Westlite Dormitory (Woodlands) Pte
Ltd
|
2 Woodlands Sector 2, Singapore
737723
|
|
WLD Facilities Management Pte Ltd
|
27 Woodlands Sector 1, Singapore
738252
|
|
Nichefield Pte Ltd
|
50 Woodlands Industrial Park E4,
Singapore 757388
|
|
Civil Tech Management Pte Ltd
|
190 Woodlands Industrial Park E7,
Singapore 757178
|
Overwhelming of Hospital Facilities?
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MOH |
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MOH |
Bigger Numbers?
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With aggressive testing of the Foreign Workers to segregate the well from those with COVID-19, it would be expected that numbers to continue to be high for the coming days. There are a total of 250K-300K Foreign Workers in Singapore.
From past reports, S11 Dormitory@ Punggol, Westlife Toh Guan and Sungei Tengah Lodge have a total of 45,000 foreign workers house in the premise. Till date, the number of workers infected from these three dorms are as follow
- S11 Dormitory@Punggol: 1508 cases
- Westlite Toh Guan: 146 cases
- Sungei Tengah Lodge : 521 Cases
Using this as a gauge, the total infection rate is about 4.8%. If we project it to a population size of 250,000, it would imply a possible 12,000 infection. Given that we had identified 6075 carriers to date, we are halfway there. On the flip side, with this aggressive testing, we might slow down the spread as the healthy are moved away from the epicentre.
The curve may find its peak soon.
Will MAY4 Circuit Breaker be extended?
The general community spread is in better shape since CB started. Average transmission had reduced from the 40s to 20s over the past 3 days. While the is encouraging, the numbers from the Dormitories might be the determining factor if the CB would to extend beyond May 4. If the numbers do not show tampering AND hospitalisation cases remain high, there might be a possibility that the CB will be extended.
This is to prevent stretching the current resources as removal of CB measures would probably lead to an increase in local community cases. If the cases were to spread to facilities like Old Folk's Home, the situation may be further complicated as this group would be the ones that would most likely need the hospital facilities for treatment.
While we would like CB to end as soon as possible. It is best not to rush into a decision. If closing for another 2 weeks or so would put us in a better position in the longer run, we should do it regardless.
What's the next big cluster?
The number of FW affected is about 5 % of the total population. It is also the most vulnerable group in terms of possible spread due to the living condition. The other areas to worry are nursing homes and schools when they reopen. However, these can be isolated fairly quickly and would not have the same magnitude as this mega cluster. If we can suppress this, Singapore might come out of this COVID19 situation at a better footing.
In the meantime, let us not be disheartened by the topline numbers. The fact that the authorities had been transparent with the figures and actions, means that we are assured that they are working on stopping the spread. Instead of adding to the woes, let's do our part for the next few weeks. Stay at home and flatten the community curve. The more we distance ourselves, the lesser chance we will get infected.
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